wow
Active Member
Actually, here is the chart. It's the 2014 season and the ScEx is the likelihood of scoring at least one run, which is actually lower with a runner on second and one out. We use this exact chart quite a bit with our players in classroom situations.
http://fastpitchanalytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/RE.jpg
If there is a way to just show it, rather than provide the link, someone please do it for me.
Thanks coach. Great info. I think this is a huge piece of the strategy of the game. Obviously every situation is different but this info is a great ingredient to understanding manufacturing runs
There is no statistical advantage to be at second with one out over being at first with no outs. Bunting the runner over greatly reduces the chance of posting a croaked number that inning.
That being said: it still depends on who's on first and how fast she is. (can she make third?) who is batting, how good she might be (hitting away or bunting) and how fast, and what is the game situation?, (tied in the top of seventh or down by 6 in the third?) Who is on deck and the chance of her hitting the ball to the fence and who is in the hole.......
Then the coach earns his money and makes a choice, cause at the point stats don't matter, it comes down to this pitch, welcome to softball.
AMEN. This is exactly why softball IQ matters. Situations matter. Choices made are a little bit of stats and gut feelings. Just hope more of the first and not the latter.
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